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  • Forecast global semiconductor revenue will increase by 12.3% in 2017
    Date :2017-4-18


    International research and consulting institutions predict that in 2017 the global semiconductor revenues totaled $386 billion, an increase of 12.3% compared to 2016. Since the second half of, the favorable conditions for the market began to emerge, especially in the standard memory (memory commodity), with these favorable conditions continue to ferment, 2017 and 2018 market prospects are more promising. However, the volatile storage market, coupled with DRAM and NAND Flash production capacity increased, the market is expected to enter the correction period in 2019.


    Research Director Jon Erensen said: "although the DRAM and NAND Flash prices rise, so that the overall semiconductor market prospect, but also the intelligent mobile phone, personal computer (PC) and the server system manufacturers profit pressure. Component shortages, raw material prices, coupled with the industry may have to raise the average selling price (ASP) as a response, in 2017 and in 2018 the market will therefore be volatile."


    Since 2016, the price of DRAM for personal computers has doubled. As long as the original $12.50 4GB module, has now risen to nearly $25, the average price of NAND Flash also continued to rise from the second half of 2016 to the first quarter of this year. Expected DRAM and NAND price will reach its peak in the second quarter of 2017, but the overall price drop is likely to continue until the end of this year, the main reason is that the intelligent mobile phone and other major application capacity requirements increase, manufacturers will begin to grab the goods.


    Jon Erensen pointed out: in 2017 with the margin of memory manufacturers to upgrade, manufacturers have begun to layout new capacity expansion plan. We expect the Chinese mainland to launch a series of actions to develop the memory industry, which will cause the market to decline in 2019."


    Since the top smart phones, graphics cards, game consoles and automotive applications unit production estimates have been raised, the 2017 semiconductor market prospects are more promising. In addition, a large number of DRAM and NAND Flash, PC, ultramobile, servers and solid state drives and other electronic devices, will also lead to an increase in semiconductor revenue forecast value.


    Jon Erensen said: "the Internet of things (IoT) semiconductor business related and wearable devices caused by the gradual rise, but the outlook remains uncertain, the main reason is that the market in the early stages of development and the scale is too small, not enough to have a significant impact on the rate of 2017 overall revenue growth of semiconductor."





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